Tuesday, December 24, 2013

#Supernova Elite#ZOOM#December Review#

#Supernova Elite#ZOOM#December Review
This month was was most certainly a success in my books; hitting Supernova Elite yesterday for the first time ever! Overall win rate for the month was around 2.7bb/100 running a bit above ev. It was most certainly a rough challenge for me chasing Supernova Elite at 100nl. I've had ups- and downs grinding massive amount of volume facing all kinds of downswings and variance but none the less I was more than satisfied with my results for this month.

47k VPPs for the month; 110 hours.
[ ] Ordered Supernova Elite T-Shirt

Monday, December 23, 2013

Supernova Elite Hit!


After many hours of clicking and typing, here we are now. I apologize for the lack of updates this month and will hopefully be doing several updates preceding the little challenge I set for myself that prompted the start of this blog.


Happy Holidays Everyone !! 
and if You're Still Grindin'~ Good Luck!

Monday, December 16, 2013

MID MONTH UPDATE #DECEMBER#SUPERNOVA ELITE#HEAT#HOLIDAY

MID MONTH UPDATE #DECEMBER#SUPERNOVA ELITE#HEAT#SLACK 

11902.44 VPP left before I hit Supernova Elite.This month has been a very slow and relaxing month for me. Unlike my usual months that are filled with all-nighter and marathon sessions I've been relatively sticking to a very relaxed schedule with about 2-3 days off each week. I think this month will be the least amount of volume as I think I'll probably be cutting my grind off at about 200k or so hands; or when I hit SNE whichever one is sooner!

I ended up taking both yesterday and today off to just relax. Since final-exams for University are coming to an end; it's been real nice to catch up with a lot of my friends that are currently in University and pig out for the winter! 

On the left here is Duck Meat with Egg Yolk inside. . . that is just awesome. Of course Asian food . . . all the strangeness , to be honest it really wasn't all that bad. 

On a latter note. . . I can't believe that the liquor store near by completely sold-out of Tree-Brewing Winter Ale


This month was much better than last month. . . by miles. After my first large downswing in November that completely killed my confidence and morale it was pretty much a train-wreck for me the whole way. I've been constantly revisiting a lot of the blog posts/articles I've written and found benefit in swallowing my own advice

I've still been regularly hitting the gym;~ and the results will be posted shortly once I've hit my Supernova Elite Challenge. I've worked a ton on not checking my results mid-session. . sometimes only once every day or two. Given that it was the Holiday season and I've been taking a ton of time off the tables to relax and hang with friends/family this naturally prevented me from playing a ton of extended B-Game/C-Game sessions and resulting in a much better Mid-Month than usual. 

It's quite unlikely that I'll be playing the last week of December so hope everyone's looking forward to my possible last and final post for this challenge in a week. 

As for my original Goal of 3evbb/100 and 200k hands. . . ~ we're actually right on the dot ! =) Quite pleased with running above Ev as well for the month. 

Hopefully will be ending the following week with a total of 10-15k after rakeback.


As Always Keep Positive ! 
Enjoy the Holidays!
and Good Luck on the Tables! =]





Saturday, December 14, 2013

Friday the 13th- Update- Count down to SNE- 12170VPPs

Friday the 13th- Update- Count down to SNE- 12170VPPs

Not exactly the greatest day, actually I think had one of the worst sessions/days this month. . . which in itself is both brag as well as a beat =P. Thought Fridays were particularly . . . "soft" so decided to fire up 200nl-Zoom which didn't go too well. Also busted 900/2000 in a Big 55$ MTT ; AJ vs AT 12bb deep. What can you expect. . . 

Played about 6.5 hours today; 3.3k VPPs, bit of a downswing. 

Though I'm not down a ton; I felt like I was outplayed in a ton of pots and got owned in a lot of cooler/bad situations.

Not exactly the healthiest of nutrition choices. . but I figured I need a treat now and then =)~ It is after all the holidays!

Very likely taking half or whole day off tomorrow to hang with friend. ~


As always Best of luck to everyone else on the tables !


Happy Holidays ! =)! 11-days till Christmas !

Friday, December 13, 2013

This is Why We make Money- Poker is Gambling

This is Why We make Money- Poker is Gambling 
Read on

What is Poker? It's a game of incomplete information, and as any such phenomenon in the real world there's a luck aspect involved. 

The respective player within this game will be dealt a hand; in the long run the luck of the hand portion will be evened out. The community cards that fall out are going to be indiscriminate of which players are on the tables. That in itself is the luck portion which in the long-run evens out itself.

Variance 

This in itself is going to be something that will affect all players regardless of if you're Daniel Negreneau or Tom Dwan. This is merely a simple way of explaining and describing what happens when a negative result is unavoidable despite the assumption of optimal play.

You can and will lose money making good plays in the short-run.

But here's the Caveat. With the same respect, poor-players can subsequently "Make Money" whilst making unconsciously "bad-plays". "chasing draws, poor equity, poor range construction". 

The Perspectives

To a winning player that's losing money; he knows that his long-run will be profitable and is able to distribute his results accordingly to variance or bad play. This is a result of of his/her experience and understanding of skill.

To a recreational player that's losing money; He's getting unlucky, when he's winning money he's getting lucky. A skill evaluation of himself is not present. 

A winning player can evaluate his skill level, because he understands what a skill level is. Whether a play is good or bad in the long run. 

A recreational player cannot evaluate his skill level since he either A) does not understand there is a such thing as skill-level in poker B) unable to determine whether a play is good or bad. 

So Why Does this Matter?

Poker is gambling and luck. 

If it was a game of 100% skill and it was transparent as such. Think to yourself:
Would a recreational player engage in a game that he has no skill advantage in? 
Would a recreational player knowingly put money in a game that he has 0% in getting back?


The notion that Poker is Gambling is what keeps Professional Poker Players alive.

If the world is to accept Poker is a game of skill, this would drive the recreational players out. They would understand that in the long-run they're being taken in for a ride and hustled into bankruptcy. 

If the world is to accept Poker is a game of skill, all those that would pursue it would actively increase their skill edge.

Consider This:
A Boxing tournament has a registration of 100$. 100 entrants. Top prize is $5500 Second $2000, Third $1500 Fourth $1000. 
- If boxing were a game of luck; there's no money to be made or lost, and it's a break-even gamble in the long run.
-Given that boxing is not a game of "entirely luck". Do you think there would be a lot of "Recreational contestants".

Hopefully I've been able to clear up some things to the strangeness of this "profession". So the next time variance hits you hard; understand that it is Variance itself that keeps the games Profitable. 

Embrace Variance, Embrace Tilt. 

Love this aspect of the game. 

So the next time someone comes up to you and say isn't Poker Gambling?

This is the most +EV reply:

It sure is! You have an equal chance as winning as me; Let's Play =). 

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Christmas Cheer Update #Glühwein#Bratwurst#Feuerzangenbowle

Christmas Cheer Update #Glühwein#Bratwurst#Feuerzangenbowle



Due to how I've been running: ahead of schedule, and HOT, I decided to take Tuesday Off to hang with a friend of mine. Really hoping to finish off my Supernova Elite grind as soon as possible since exam-time is almost over and I wouldn't want to miss out on all the fun parties ahead :)!

 Went to see the new "Hunger Games Trilogy" earlier on yesterday but it was most certainly not what I expected. . . I have no clue how it ended up making top 2 in box-office. Given that I've already read the series; I was upset that so much of the dystopian/imbalance and abuse of power/abuse of poor aspect was downplayed a ton. Then again "Sappy Love scenes and special effects" is probably more +ev to the general audience.

Initially we were just going to pig out on a massive amount of greasy and salty food. . . but given then Christmas Cheer around downtown she diverted our attention to the Christmas market!

It's essentially a "Farmer's Market" but with 90% of the vendor's being German. I spent the entire time whilst waiting in line attempting to pronounce "Feuerzangenbowle" . . . only to sound like an idiot when ordering bleh... :(

German cheesecake, Glühwein, Bratwurst afterwards I was starting to speculate that it was less of a "Christmas Market" and more of a "German Market".

German food is and was awesome as always; I was really speculative of the Gluwein and the Feuerzangenbowle since "Warm-Alcohol" . . . sounded "strange". It was amazing, giving the impression of hot- Apple -Cider with a hint of red-wine.

Today was pretty normal day as usual. It snowed some more last
night and there was a . . small amount of snow still on parts of the ground. Really doesn't feel like Christmas in Canada without snow. . even though Vancouver gets at most a week of it a year.

Pretty stoked for going skiing soon though! Whistler usually has good snow earlier on during the season, before it gets slushy and such. Grouse Mountain is also a viable option as it's probably an hour drive and most likely be a day trip.





I had a really good slice of Apple Pie today at a Cafe near by. It was one of the Cafe's that's just been there and I knew about it. . but never really tried it.

Unlike the "drowned in sugar" , "1% apple 90% rubbish", "store bought" pies. . . there was actually no added sugar and plenty of apples within the pie. Delicious.

And of course finally. . . the grind. =X.
S'all about the nutrition. I blame the run-bad/play-bad on nutrition.

#Glühwein#Bratwurst#Feuerzangenbowle + beer+pastries+candies probably is not the most "healthy" thing.

VPP Count:
981654.55
about 18.3k left~ About 41 hours left! 

Hopefully I'll be able to hit another 10-20bi upswing before then as well! 

Good luck on the tables everyone! =]

and Happy Holidays!




Monday, December 9, 2013

Dec 9 Update #Ride the Heat#Holiday#Snow#On Pace to $24,000 Month

#Ride the Heat#Snow in Vancouver! 


For the last 2 days I really haven't been putting in much volume that is to say. . . compared to what I'm usually putting in. Nonetheless . . . I'm still on pace to Supernova Elite which makes me pretty happy since I'm taking it easy.

I'm ecstatic to see some of my losses from last month in both $$ and ev$$ are slowly being caught back. 

sushi = +ev
Hit'd up the gym today; got some fish and proceeded to eat some more fish on the tables ;).  It was the first day of the season that I saw snow here in Vancouver! On the bright side, it's much better than the cold-wet sleety rain that dominates the weather. . . . that being said; the snow is usually quite short-lived :(. Hopefully I can get some good pictures of it tomorrow. . . =]






Since I figured I'm already relatively on pace/ ahead of pace to SNE chase I took an early day off yesterday to knock back a few brews with Dad and watch a movie. 

As far as Bruce Willis movies go. . . the general tempo of the movie is same and I was quite pleased about the "relative-originality" of the plot; since most Action movies so heavily lack a decent story line and just abuse the "chase scenes". *Ahem(Bourne Legacy)*

Vertical Winter Ale
If anyone is here in Vancouver or nearby and can access this; I highly suggest it. It's by far one of if not my favorite beers in the world : "Tree Brewing- Winter Ale". . . 

Due to the fact that it's only around for 2ish months of the year. . there's a likelihood that some of my outrageous plays on the tables will be attributed to this delicious beverage. 

Only about 21.7k VPPs left ! Not too bad considering that's about 50-55 hours of (6 tabling zoom 100nl). . . or if I'm a little frisky; 35-40h of (200/100nl 6m zoom).


It's actually been awhile since I've gone to see a movie in theaters. . . and probably will go to see "Catching Fire" tomorrow. Considering it's a Tuesday. . . and mid-week games aren't exactly "drooling", it's a reasonable trade off =)~.

So far so good just riding the First Week Heat like back in October. It would be pretty amazing to set a new personal record considering I've already taken a few days/half-days off this month. . . and plan on taking another week or 2 off. . . but who knows! 

I think hitting 8k- Profits, Supernova Elite will more than qualified in my book for a "decent month".  So in reality. . . even if I continue to run as well as I do for another 100-200k hands; I probably won't hit 20k month since I plan on cutting my grind short and taking holidays off~ =( 

I've already put in nearly 55-60 hours this month. . . but feeling pretty good about it so far. Since there are 1 or 2 days where I went into "Degen-Watch How I met your mother+grind all nighter mode" and the remainder chill 3-5h days which I feel are really relaxing. 











Hand of the Day

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2377447
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $56.28 Fish
Hero (SB): $292.08 Reg Fish
BB: $354.73 Loose Aggrotard
UTG: $115.50 Tag
MP: $197.77 AggroReg- thinks I'm full of SH** reg
CO: $109.50 Always Nuts Nit-Reg

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with K of spades K of hearts
UTG raises to $3, MP calls $3, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($10.00) 9 of clubs 7 of spades 8 of clubs (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP bets $7, Hero calls $7, UTG folds

Turn: ($24.00) 8 of hearts (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $15, Hero calls $15

River: ($54.00) K of clubs (2 players)
Hero bets $24MP raises to $114Hero raises to $267.08 all in, MP calls $58.77 all in




Final Pot: $399.54










Hero shows K of spades K of hearts (a full house, Kings full of Eights)
MP shows 8 of diamonds 8 of spades (four of a kind, Eights)
MP wins $396.74
(Rake: $2.80)







Good luck To Everyone Else on the tables ! 

Run HOT! and may the Odds be ever in your favor ;) 




Sunday, December 8, 2013

Holiday Upswing #December Week 1 Update

Holiday Upswing #December Week 1 Review

4.19bb/100- heat
-Mistakes- Unlike what the graph seems to be showing; the start of the month has not been terrific for me in a psychological as well as goal-oriented way.  The dip you see around hand 70k was me playing over 12hours late into the night; then proceeding to 200nl to spew money and chase losses. For the rest of the month I need to be focused on making solid rules and abiding strongly by them.


I'm currently sitting on: 976,607.32 VPPs for the year and 23,889.43 VPPs for the month. 

This means as long as I can muster up 1000 VPPs a day for the remainder of the year; the Supernova Elite Status along with its' bonuses will be mine!  

With Christmas and Holidays coming up; I do want to finish up Supernova Elite with some time ahead to take some time off; going skiing, hang with friends and family.

This actually doesn't seem to bad at all since for the year so far I've been making between 400-450 VPPs/hour mixing 3 tables of Full-Ring and 3 tables of 6-max ZOOM!

For the rest of this month; my primary goals are : 
Play Solid; minimize spew
Working out, and eating a healthy diet
Play no more than 8h a day
ZOOM along the whole way
No more 200nl+ 

Played in the Pokerstars Sunday 5m Guaranteed today hoping for the 400k bink like the other 25,000 players. . . . unfortunately didn't even cash. *Sighs* 

As it the year begins to close; I revisit my initial goal when I started this blog:
6 Months; 60k; 100nl and below
Results with lots of graphs and summary will be posted nearing the end. Unfortunately due to my terrible results at the regular tables as well as 200nl; perhaps it's not as great as I thought it would have been.

Zero Table Selection+Mass Volume + Good Nutrition= Profits all the way $$ =)


Happy Holidays Everyone ! And of course; may the run hot be on your side ! =] 

See ya on the tables =)~




Tuesday, December 3, 2013

Month End Review - November #Disaster Strikes


November Review- December Goals
Poker

It's been awhile since I've updated my blog and hopefully the graph to the left will illustrate sort of the reason. Unlike the beautiful results that I've attained in October. This month started off as a disaster and didn't really result in my full recovery. Thankfully for the Pokerstars VIP system I somehow managed to end the month in the positive despite the atrocious results on the tables.  I took 4-5 days off in November attempting to freshen my mind from the continuous downswings that never seemed to cease.


The Numbers 

Now as you can see to the left 200nl was a complete disaster for me. Considering the small sample size along with the "negative" "ev winrate" it's pretty easy to conclude that I played awful and ran just as awful. I ended up making 127859.19 VPPs for the month. Full-Ring Zoom is a breeze as usual, my 6-max game deteriorated. Approximately 255 hours on the tables as well. This worked out to be 18$/hour after losses despite the ridiculously poor performance on the tables. 



Lessons

Butchering my Game Plan- I made every single possible mistake possible last month. I played late into the night with the notion of "chasing my losses", lost track of what a profitable game was, and spewed relentlessly. It had began bad to the point that I had other players on the table commenting on how my play is so much worse/ different than before. The FOLD button also seems to magically disappear from my field of view while on a downswing and been replaced by the "Shove or Call option". 

You don't have to win every pot- If only I could have repeated this to myself while on the tables. . . countless amount of money would have been saved. My biggest losing day for the month I had dropped almost 4x the amount more than my biggest winning day. (-5.7k vs +1.6k) . Neglecting stop losses and constantly peeking at my graph mid-session resulted in poor performance on the tables and self inducing tilt. 

Variance is variance, let it go- What is variance and what isn't?. Let's just take a breather and assume that my plays were 100% best to my abilities and 0% tilt-play was involved. Well had I run at "Expected Value", my month would have been at approximately +9.4k. Had I run 4.6k above rather than below, I would have ended the month at +14k profit. 

Stop blaming variance- Rather complimentary to my previous lesson. There's a line, sometimes a thick line sometimes a thin line between variance and poor play. 
eg. I call a 6bet-shove with 9Ts and lose to AK-Situation 1 
eg. I call a 5bet-shove with KK and lose to AA-Situation 2
In almost 95% of the cases situation 2 is "variance" situation 1 is "bad play". Despite having more "equity vs the hand" in situation 1. There's a pretty clear line of the two hypothetical examples I gave is variance/bad play. As ranges become thinner and thinner it becomes less conclusive whether a play is poor or good.

That being said, I don't think that my game has "evolved" to that level of strategy; nor do I think that the skill levels at small stakes (100-200nl) have reached the epitome of poker. 

*Note to self* - Don't overestimate fold equity or thin value. It's an easy sure fire way to kick up variance through the roof. 




Goals for December

  • Hit up the gym 4-5x a week. 
  • Hit Supernova Elite
  • Work on maintaining A-Game and hopefully recover from "november Downswing"
  • Manage Time much better
  • Have lots of fun "It is the holidays"
  • 3evbb/100 - 200k hands -
  • Not checking my results relentlessly. (Hopefully just once a day. . then couple days. . then week.)